Kentucky Derby 2025 odds, post positions, picks: Journalism, Sovereignty, Sandman predictions by top expert

by oqtey
Kentucky Derby 2025 odds, post positions, picks: Journalism, Sovereignty, Sandman predictions by top expert

There are no shortage of nicknames for the Kentucky Derby, which is referred to as the “Run for the Roses”, “Greatest Two Minutes in Sports,” and “Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports.” The Kentucky Derby is considered by many to be the top horse race of the year, as although it doesn’t crown a Triple Crown winner, it’s the first leg towards making one possible. The Kentucky Derby 2025 features another deep field of 2025 Kentucky Derby contenders looking to become the first horse since Justify in 2018 and just the 14th horse ever to capture the Triple Crown. Journalism is the 3-1 favorite in the latest 2025 Kentucky Derby odds after winning the Santa Anita Derby on April 5 for his fourth straight victory.

He’s followed by Sovereignty (5-1) and Sandman (6-1) with the next shortest odds to win the Kentucky Derby 2025, which takes place on Saturday with a post time of 6:57 p.m. ET. Who should you expect to etch their name in history when making 2025 Kentucky Derby bets? Before making any 2025 Kentucky Derby picks, be sure to see the horse racing predictions and 2025 Kentucky Derby futures bets from SportsLine’s elite horse racing expert Jody Demling, considering his domination of this race. 

A fixture in the horse racing world who has been writing about, talking about and betting on races for years, Demling has nailed the Kentucky Oaks-Derby double 11 times in the last 16 years. He also predicted the winner of the Belmont Stakes four of the last seven years and called 10 of the last 20 Preakness winners, including in 2023, when he hit the winner, exacta, trifecta and superfecta, as well as the trifecta in 2024. Anyone who has followed him on those picks on sites like FanDuel Racing, TwinSpires and 1/ST BET is up huge.

Now, with the 2025 Kentucky Derby post positions set and odds on the board, Demling is sharing his 2025 Kentucky Derby betting picks and 2025 Kentucky Derby predictions over at SportsLine. Go here to see them.

Top 2025 Kentucky Derby predictions, expert analysis

One surprise: Demling is fading Sandman, even though he is third in the Kentucky Derby odds 2025 at 6-1. The horse is a closer who will try to eat up ground in the race’s final half-mile. His best chances are if a speed duel takes place up front, which seems possible considering up to seven horses have frontrunner tendencies.

However, Demling isn’t keen on the talented colt’s chances because he “was still swerving down the stretch in his last race.” Despite winning the Arkansas Derby in March, Sandman might be too green to be successful in a field this big. Other 2025 Kentucky Derby closers appeal more to Demling. See which other 2025 Kentucky Derby horses to avoid at SportsLine.

Demling also locked in his 2025 Kentucky Derby prediction for Sovereignty. The second-place finisher in the Florida Derby is the oddsmakers’ second choice at 5-1 odds, behind only Journalism (3-1). He lost by a length-and-a-quarter to Tappan Street, who was ruled out of Saturday’s Kentucky Derby 2025 field due to injury.

Sovereignty is trained by Hall of Famer Bill Mott and enters with two wins and two second place finishes in five career starts. Under regular rider Junior Alvarado, the three-year-old colt could be flying from the back as the horses come down the stretch. With a projected speed dual up front, he may be able to pass tired horses late and finish near the top.

Demling has also locked in his 2025 Kentucky Derby picks for Journalism, the 3-1 favorite. Based out of Southern California, Journalism placed third in his first race and has since won his ensuing four starts. All five races come in California, so he’ll have to adjust to a new track and new environment at Churchill Downs. Journalism has three stakes victories on his resume, including in the Santa Anita Derby, but some question whether he’s truly been tested. He’s only beaten two other horses in the 2025 Kentucky Derby field, and both are double-digit longshots.

Journalism is sired by the 2007 American Champion 3-year-old, Curlin, who won seven Grade 1 races back in his day. However, Curlin has yet to sire a horse that’s won a Triple Crown race. The pedigree is still strong, nonetheless, as Curlin’s grandsons won two of the last three Kentucky Derbies: Mage (2023) and Rich Strike (2022). Journalism will look to bring the first Derby victory to both trainer, Michael McCarthy, and jockey, Umberto Rispoli. See which other horses to back at SportsLine.

How to make 2025 Kentucky Derby picks, bets

Demling is especially high on a huge double-digit longshot who is “generating buzz on the backside.” Demling is sharing which horse it is, along with his entire projected 2025 Kentucky Derby leaderboard, over at SportsLine.

Which horse wins the Kentucky Derby 2025, and which huge double-digit longshot is a must-back? Check out the latest 2025 Kentucky Derby odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Demling’s picks for the Kentucky Derby, all from the expert who has nailed 11 Derby-Oaks doubles.

2025 Kentucky Derby odds, post positions

2025 Kentucky Derby horse profiles

1 Citizen Bull | 2 Neoequos | 3 Final Gambit | 4 Rodriguez | 5 American Promise | 6 Admire Daytona | 7 Luxor Cafe | 8 Journalism | 9 Burnham Square | 10 Grande | 11 Flying Mohawk | 12 East Avenue | 13 Publisher | 14 Tiztastic | 15 Render Judgment | 16 Coal Battle | 17 Sandman | 18 Sovereignty | 19 Chunk of Gold | 20 Owen Almighty

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